Nghệ thuật của tư duy rành mạch – Rolf Dobelli – Đoạn trích ngắn

Nghệ thuật của tư duy rành mạch – Rolf Dobelli – Đoạn trích ngắn


Bạn thu xếp một cuộc hẹn với một tay đầu sỏ chính trị người Nga (Russian oligarch) trong một khu rừng ngay bên ngoài thành phố của mình. Gã ta chỉ vừa trờ tới sau bạn, đem theo một chiếc vali và một khẩu súng. Đặt chiếc vali lên mui xe của y, ông ta mở nó ra để bạn có thể trông thấy đống tiền đầy ắp- cả thảy 10 triệu đô la. “Muốn chơi cò quay Nga không? “, hắn hỏi. “Chỉ kéo cò một lần, và toàn bộ số này sẽ thuộc về anh.” Khẩu súng lục ổ quay chỉ chứa một viên đạn; năm ổ đạn còn lại rỗng không. Bạn cân nhắc các lựa chọn của mình. Mười triệu đô la hẳn sẽ đổi đời bạn. Bạn rồi sẽ chẳng bao giờ phải đi làm nữa. Cuối cùng thì bạn sẽ có thể chuyển từ sưu tập tem sang sưu tầm xe hơi thể thao rồi!


Nghệ thuật của tư duy rành mạch – Rolf Dobelli – Đoạn trích ngắn

Bạn chấp nhận lời thách thức. Bạn kê khẩu súng lục lên thái dương của mình và siết cò. Bạn nghe một tiếng click yếu ớt và cảm thấy adrenaline ngập tràn trong cơ thể mình. Không có gì xảy ra. Ổ đạn trống! Bạn đã sống sót. Bạn cầm mớ tiền, chuyển đến thành phố xinh đẹp nhất trần mà bạn biết, và làm loạn cào cào đám dân địa phương bằng cách xây một căn biệt thự xa hoa ở đấy.

Một trong những người hàng xóm của bạn, mà nhà của gã giờ đây nằm trong bóng râm nhà bạn, là một tay luật sư xuất chúng. Ông ta làm việc mười hai giờ một ngày, ba trăm ngày một năm. Mức lương của y khá ấn tượng, nhưng không bình thường: 500 đô la một giờ. Mỗi năm ông có thể để dành nửa triệu đô la tiền lợi nhuận sau thuế và sống xa xỉ. Lúc nào bạn đi ngang qua, bạn cũng vẫy chào ông từ đường vào gara nhà bạn, cười vào phần bên trong: Ông ta sẽ phải làm việc 20 năm để bắt kịp bạn.

Giả sử rằng, sau 20 năm, vị hàng xóm chăm chỉ của bạn đã tiết kiệm được 10 triệu đô la. Một hôm, có một tay phóng viên tới và đưa tin về những căn hộ giàu có trong vùng – hoàn thiện bằng những bức ảnh về những tòa nhà nguy nga và những cô vợ thứ tuyệt mỹ mà bạn và gã hàng xóm đã tích lũy sau ngần ấy năm. Tay phóng viên bình phẩm về thiết kế nội thất và phong cảnh trang nhã. Tuy nhiên, điểm khác biệt cốt yếu giữa 2 người các bạn lại nằm khuất khỏi quan điểm bài viết: rủi ro ẩn nấp đằng sau mỗi cục 10 triệu đô la. Để biết vấn đề này, anh ta cần nhận biết về những khả năng có thể có (alternative path).

Nhưng không chỉ có dân báo chí là đám kém cỏi trong kỹ năng này. Tất cả chúng ta đều như vậy cả, như Nassim Taleb đã làm rõ với đoạn văn về trò cò quay Nga.

Những khả năng có thể có chính là tất cả những kết quả có thể xảy đến nhưng đã không diễn ra. Trong trò cò quay Nga, có 4 khả năng có thể có có thể dẫn tới cùng một kết quả (chiến thắng 10 triệu đô la) và đường thứ năm dẫn tới cái chết của bạn. Một khác biệt khổng lồ. Trong trường hợp của gã luật sư, những đường dẫn khả năng nằm sát bên nhau hơn. Trong một ngôi làng, ông ta hẳn chỉ kiếm được 200 đô la một giờ. Nhưng ở trung tâm New York và làm việc cho một trong các ngân hàng đầu tư lớn, có thể mức lương sẽ là 600 đô la một giờ. Nhưng, không như bạn, ông ta không mạo hiểm bất cứ khả năng có thể có nào đáng giá bằng cả gia tài-hay cuộc đời ông ta.
Những khả năng có thể có là vô hình, cho nên chúng ta rất hiếm khi quán sát được chúng. Những ai đầu cơ các trái phiếu lãi cao (junk bond), các quyền chọn và hợp đồng hoán đổi nợ xấu (Credit default swap), nhờ đó kiếm được hàng triệu, sẽ không bao giờ được quên rằng họ đùa cợt với nhiều khả năng có thể có sẽ dẫn dắt thẳng tiến tới bờ vực phá sản. Với một đầu óc đầy lý trí, 10 triệu đô la có được qua một rủi ro khổng lồ là kém giá trị hơn so với mức tổng tương tự kiếm được bởi hàng năm trời làm kiếp trâu ngựa. (Một kế toán viên, dù vậy, có thể không đồng tình)

Trong quyển Fooled by Randomness, Taleb thuật lại chuyện ông đã dùng bữa tối với một người bạn như thế nào trong một quầy bar ở New York. “Chúng tôi tung một đồng xu để xem ai sẽ phải trả tiền ăn. Tôi thua nên thanh toán. Anh bạn tôi định cảm ơn tôi nhưng rồi bất ngờ dừng lại, và bảo rằng anh ta trả cho một nửa bữa ăn về mặt xác suất.” Bạn tôi khi đó đã cân nhắc đến những khả năng có thể có.
Kết luận lại: Rủi ro không thể nhìn thấy trực tiếp. Do đó, hãy luôn cân nhắc những khả năng có thể có là gì. Thành công đến từ những giao dịch đầy mạo hiểm, đối với một đầu óc đầy lý trí mà nói, là kém giá trị hơn thành công đạt được bằng những cách “nhàm chán” (lấy ví dụ, với những công việc cần cù như là nghề luật sư, nha sĩ, hướng dẫn viên dạy trượt tuyết, phi công, thợ hớt tóc, hay một nhà tư vấn đầu tư). Đúng vậy, việc xem xét các khả năng có thể có từ bên ngoài là một tác vụ khó khăn, còn việc xem xét các khả năng có thể có từ bên trong là một tác vụ hầu như bất khả thi. Não bộ của bạn sẽ làm mọi thứ để thuyết phục bạn rằng thành công của bạn được bảo đảm – bất chấp độ rủi ro mà giao dịch của bạn đang gặp phải – và sẽ che khuất mọi ý nghĩ về những kết quả khác với kết quả bạn đang hướng đến.

Trích từ quyền sách của Rolf Dobelli – The Art Of Thinking Clearlya

Bản thân mình đọc thấy rất hay nên giới thiệu cho các bạn. Nếu bạn có nhu cầu mua sách thì tham khảo ở đây


Bình luận

Email của bạn sẽ không được hiển thị công khai.

  1. Great info. Lucky me I discovered your site by chance (stumbleupon). I have book marked it for later!

    http://charlieejou782.image-perth.org/what-s-holding-back-the-meogtwigeomjeung-industry

  2. May I simply say what a comfort to uncover somebody that really knows what they are talking about over the internet. You definitely know how to bring a problem to light and make it important. More and more people really need to read this and understand this side of your story. I was surprised that you are not more popular since you definitely have the gift.

    https://www.worshiptraining.com/members/baccarat0claveson61/activity/343781/

  3. Your style is really unique in comparison to other people I’ve read stuff from. Thanks for posting when you have the opportunity, Guess I’ll just bookmark this site.

    https://lessontoday.com/profile/casino7alleygrouse50/activity/616211/

  4. http://www.marsnjak.com/go.php?link=https://bestpornsites.club/

    http://russellbankconsulting.com/__media__/js/netsoltrademark.php?d=bestpornsites.club/

  5. You’re so interesting! I do not believe I’ve read through something like that before. So nice to find somebody with genuine thoughts on this subject. Really.. thanks for starting this up. This website is something that is required on the web, someone with a bit of originality!

    https://oil.gy/members/crowfelony53/activity/916095/

  6. Having read this I thought it was very informative. I appreciate you taking the time and effort to put this information together. I once again find myself spending way too much time both reading and commenting. But so what, it was still worthwhile!

    https://funsilo.date/wiki/A_new_Fan_Tan_Is_A_great_Enjoyable_Way_To_Play_At_An_Online_Casino

  7. Wow, the writing is so sexy. How can easily My partner and i write like an individual? My partner and i want to have the similar writing skills when you.

    http://www.sdmnapoli.it/index.php?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=743928

  8. At this price, you can premiere as a article writer. I am so touched. Now i am happy to meet you. Give thanks you.

    https://health-lists.com/story9319074/why-do-gamers-like-online-casinos

  9. At this kind of charge, you can debut as a writer. Now i am so touched. I am just joyful to meet you. Thank you.

    https://my.quincy.edu/ICS/Campus_Life/Campus_Groups/Chalk_Hawks/Discussion.jnz?portlet=Forums&screen=PostView&screenType=change&id=cd4f28e2-735a-4ea7-8e58-2cc97c510939

  10. I recently additional this feed to be able to my personal bookmarks. I must state, I greatly enjoy reading through the sites. Continue the good work!

    https://www.pearltrees.com/nagelhoutyer413/item309009084

  11. Thank a person so much for allowing me personally know what My partner and i didn’t know. I anticipate working with you.

    https://classifylist.com/story9318650/enjoying-your-time-in-aromeia-brazil-with-a-casino-and-an-isla

  12. Hey there, usually are you too great? Your writing widens my expertise. Say thanks to you.

    http://drmovie.ru/user/actiongauge39/

  13. Thanks much for another information. It isn?t easy that sort expertise reading through homework, i am keeping an eye out for.

    https://www.scoop.it/topic/tube-videos-tube-videos-664/p/4124068110/2021/04/03/acai-the-weight-berry-that-could-save-your-life

  14. 522484 798140Wonderful web site, determined several something completely new! Subscribed RSS for later, aspire to see a lot more updates exactly like it. 410308

  15. Thank an individual so much with regard to allowing us know what My partner and i didn’t know. I look ahead to working with you.

    https://www.pinterest.com/schackbrowne14xbdbnq/

  16. This blog was… how do you say it? Relevant!! Finally I have found something which helped me. Thanks!

    http://www.google.de

  17. Hello.This post was really interesting, especially since I was investigating for thoughts on this issue last Monday.

    https://g.co/kgs/t43ZfG

  18. I wish to point out my gratitude for your kind-heartedness giving support to those people that absolutely need assistance with this one area. Your personal commitment to getting the solution up and down had become quite important and has really enabled regular people like me to get to their endeavors. Your new important key points entails a lot to me and even further to my office colleagues. Warm regards; from everyone of us.

    https://thirumanipackersandmovers.com/

  19. magnificent points altogether, you just gained a brand new reader. What would you recommend in regards to your post that you made some days ago? Any positive?

    http://iascoaching.net/wp-includes/js/jquery/jquery-migrate.min.js?ver=3.3.2

  20. CBD for Stress And Anxiety as well as Clinical Depression: Visualize that it is possible to introduce one natural prep work right into your day-to-day diet regimen, which could prove to be the key to winning the defend a calmer life for individuals with depressive problems. What if the incorporation of this preparation, created on the basis of a significantly widely known and also evaluated chemical substance of plant beginning, is not only possibly really reliable, yet is not associated with the danger of adverse effects typical of pharmacological drugs? Is it even possible? Where’s the catch? Do you wish to know more? Read this article In this short article we will certainly cover: What is depression? THC and CBD cannabinoids – differences Clinical depression and also the endocannabinoid system What is depression? Official definitions suggest that depressive disorders, additionally understood colloquially as anxiety, are characterized by: abrupt anxiety of a person’s mood, in the unfavorable direction, of modest to strong strength of the intensity of the experienced changes, for greater than a couple of weeks. There may be one or more reasons for the occurrence of adjustments. It likewise happens that it is hard to recognize any indisputable factor. We really usually found the declaration that it is a people disease of the 21st century – it impacts both older and also younger people. Our education and learning is trivial for depression, not to mention our earnings – it can influence any individual. Therapy of clinical depression comes down to: pharmacotherapy, psychotherapy and psychoeducation, photo-therapy, electroconvulsive therapy and also even more all-natural tasks connected to the concentration of physical activity as well as the intro of substantial changes in the day-to-day diet regimen. It is as part of natural approaches of fighting and combating depression that the addition of cannabis prep work with cannabinoids naturally taking place in the plant in the daily diet plan is gaining a growing number of popularity in the world. Cannabidiol CBD, located in e.g. CBD oil or full-spectrum hemp oil, appears in many scientific researches as a possibly reliable cannabinoid in the treatment of anxiety. Notably, it is a 100 all-natural chemical substance of plant beginning. Interestingly, anxiety is amongst the 3 most common mental illness in which people consider CBD hemp prep work such as CBD oil, complete range hemp oil with CBD or CBD capsules. Records from customers as well as their favorable opinions on the performance of e.g. CBD oil or full range hemp oil with natural CBD are growing at an unprecedented rate. THC and also CBD cannabinoids – distinctions The key cannabinoids in the cannabis plant are THC (Δ9-tetrahydrocannabinol) as well as CBD (cannabidiol). They show antagonistic effects, which suggests that CBD lowers the impacts of THC. What are these impacts? THC has an envigorating result, triggers a sensation of euphoria, influences cognitive features, yet additionally loosens up. Large, routinely consumed doses of THC are thought about dangerous to the human brain. Excessive consumption of THC can bring about psychosis, absence of motivation, as well as also permanent adverse modifications in cognitive feature. Both THC as well as CBD affect the endocannabinoid system in the body. Their action, as currently mentioned, is inconsistent. Cbd-a-thc-in-the-endocannabinoid-1 system When writing photos, CBD slows down the deficiency of anandamide resources, as well as THC quicken this process. Nonetheless, this does not suggest that THC is just a harmful cannabinoid as well as should not be in the preparation whatsoever. On the contrary. Its small visibility in hemp prep work is even needed in order to get the so-called result. harmony. THC completely range hemp oil is present in such a limited and also, importantly, lawful amount. This quantity is so tiny (less than 0.2) that it does not cause drunkenness. Working together, THC and CBD have higher capacity than either particle acting alone. What is anandamide (AEA)? What is its value for individuals dealing with clinical depression? Read on! CBD, Clinical depression and also the endocannabinoid system The endocannabinoid system is a key system in charge of the law of basic human physiological procedures, such as energy administration, neurohormonal as well as neuroimmune connections, motor task, mood and inspiration, as well as fat metabolic process. The endocannabinoid system consists of a natural chemical called anandamide (AEA). Anandamide is a neurotransmitter that is naturally produced in the human mind. Its production is boosted by e.g. exercise, and also to a minimal degree by the so-called collaborate with the body (massage therapy!). Its sources are “made use of” to maintain the correct performance of the body, including in the field of psychological health. As shown in this research study: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23580381 high degrees of anandamide are connected with a reduced risk of developing psychotic symptoms. A high degree of anandamide is additionally associated with a favorable result on the reduction of clinical depression and anxiety signs and symptoms. This mechanism is still not totally comprehended, however it seems sensible that a highly depressed mood in an individual period for a certain situation, and with the synchronised absence of activities aimed at its renovation, causes a concentration of the increase of negative ideas. As depressive problems create, they can become a lot more unsafe kinds of conditions, e.g. psychosis, deceptions or schizophrenia. Reducing this procedure as swiftly as possible might end up being essential in the reliable therapy of mental illness of human performance.

    https://www.laweekly.com/best-cbd-for-anxiety-which-cbd-product-is-best-for-stress-and-anxiety/

  21. What exactly a man of capability! You have the power to compose excellent items that you can’t discover everywhere. to envy

    http://siau.co.uk/index.php?title=Macao__Escape_To_Your_Luxurious_Universe_Of_Baccarat_

  22. Thank anyone so much for allowing myself know what My spouse and i didn’t know. I look ahead to working with you.

    https://forum.paxcoin.co.kr/index.php?action=profile;area=forumprofile;u=485624

  23. Whoa. You’re so good that will you’re so good at this time. Your help woke me personally up. Thank you very much.

    http://bookmarkshq.com/story9006243/slots-the-simplest-means-to-beat-your-household-edge

  24. Exactly what a man of capacity! You have the potential to publish excellent items that you can’t locate anywhere. to envy

    https://www.nyticketdeals.com/members/baccarat1memoryopen8/activity/118786/

  25. At this specific charge, you can debut as a writer. I’m so touched. Now i’m content to meet you. Thank you.

    https://www.ultimate-guitar.com/u/windpen95

  26. I know this if off topic but I’m looking into starting my own weblog and was wondering what all is needed to get set up? I’m assuming having a blog like yours would cost a pretty penny? I’m not very web savvy so I’m not 100 certain. Any tips or advice would be greatly appreciated. Many thanks

    https://invidious.cmh.pw/watch?v=H_oqchnTooI

  27. I was so fascinated because of your blog. Thank an individual so much.

    http://bookmarksknot.com/story9604290/where-to-stay-at-antigua

  28. Cheers to you, We realized something new. Give thanks to an individual so much. We glimpse forward to nearby.

    http://bioimagingcore.be/q2a/index.php?qa=user&qa_1=battlename8

  29. Very nice post. I just stumbled upon your weblog and wanted to say that I have really enjoyed surfing around your blog posts. In any case I will be subscribing to your rss feed and I hope you write again soon!

    https://vsedorogi.org/index.php?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=403838

  30. At this particular level, you can premiere as a copy writer. I am so touched. I’m cheerful to meet you. Give thanks you.

    http://team3556.com/HQ/index.php?action=profile;area=forumprofile;u=89211

  31. What exactly a man of capability! You have the ability to compose excellent points that you can’t come across anywhere. to envy

    https://bookmarkedblog.com/story9319673/hotels-that-offer-free-airport-shuttle

  32. Your way of addressin this subject is both wonderful as well as inspiring.

    https://ventsmagazine.com/2021/03/12/budderweeds-ontario-cannabis-store/

  33. TopPremiumSites.porn cheerful declared end and. Questions we additions is extremely incommode. Next half add call them eat face. Age lived smile six defer bed their few. Had admitting concluded too behaviour him she. Of death to or to being other.

    https://toppremiumsites.porn/

  34. At this specific rate, you can debut as a article writer. I am just so touched. Now i am cheerful to meet you. Give thanks to you.

    https://www.artfire.com/ext/people/albrightmcnamara559259201056994

  35. 684243 623245When I initially commented I clicked the “Notify me when new comments are added” checkbox and now each time a comment is added I get three emails with the same comment. Is there any way you can remove me from that service? Bless you! 550279

  36. Thanks for sharing. This is the same response I get at work as an outsourced accountant.

    https://clarkstaff.com/services/outsourced-accounting/

  37. Heya, normally are not you too great? Your current writing widens my information. Give thanks to you.

    https://is.gd/jaF9kD

  38. Very few authors with appropriate expertise of the subjects they blog about.

    https://www.sfgate.com/cannabis-paid/article/SFGate-Best-CBD-Gummies-for-Sleep-16047857.php

  39. At this kind of amount, you can premiere as a writer. I am so touched. Now i’m joyful to meet you. Say thanks to you.

    http://www.linkagogo.com/go/To?url=108952998

  40. It is perfect time to make some plans for the future and it is time to be happy. I’ve read this post and if I could I desire to suggest you few interesting things or suggestions. Perhaps you can write next articles referring to this article. I wish to read more things about it!

    https://careers.pcma.org/profile/link288moinhat/1607811/

  41. Your style is very unique in comparison to other people I have read stuff from. Thanks for posting when you’ve got the opportunity, Guess I will just book mark this site.

    https://list.ly/c-a-sino-0-5-2-50

  42. Someone essentially help to make seriously posts I would state. This is the first time I frequented your web page and thus far? I amazed with the research you made to create this particular publish extraordinary. Excellent job!

    https://nootheme.com/forums/users/vaoloto188/

  43. By utilizing our game hack tool presented right now for you, you will be able to accelerate your process in this game and end up being the major player in the entire gaming universe. To enjoy this game to the fullest, and progress in this game much faster, you will need to use our free and working game cheat tool. It will certainly allow you to compete with the top gamers out there.

    https://issuu.com/honkai-impact-3-hack-apkz

  44. I’m impressed, I must say. Really not often do I encounter a weblog that’s each educative and entertaining, and let me let you know, you have hit the nail on the head. Your thought is excellent; the difficulty is one thing that not sufficient people are speaking intelligently about. I’m very joyful that I stumbled throughout this in my seek for something regarding this.

    https://is.gd/sAbhcW|

  45. Hi, I do believe this is a great blog. I stumbledupon it 😉 I’m going to come back once again since I book marked it. Money and freedom is the greatest way to change, may you be rich and continue to help other people.

    https://funsilo.date/wiki/Chuck_a_Luck

  46. I love what you guys are up too. This sort of clever work and coverage! Keep up the good works guys I’ve included you guys to blogroll.

    http://iascoaching.net/category/exam/

  47. Hey there, I think your site might be having browser compatibility issues. When I look at your blog site in Safari, it looks fine but when opening in Internet Explorer, it has some overlapping. I just wanted to give you a quick heads up! Other then that, very good blog!

    https://squareblogs.net/refundbaconlearn/just-how-the-american-express-blue-cash-card-works

  48. Our game hack online is developed to obtain free unlimited resources in a simple and easy method by following a several simple steps. The procedure for obtaining free unlimited resources is indeed quite straightforward if you follow our practical steps of making use of our game hack.

    https://www.mbl.edu/research/files/formidable/10/Top-Eleven-Hack-2021-Online-Cheat-For-Unlimited-Tokens-Cash.pdf

  49. Howdy! Someone in my Myspace group shared this site with us so I came to check it out. I’m definitely loving the information. I’m bookmarking and will be tweeting this to my followers! Superb blog and fantastic style and design.

    https://coolpot.stream/story.php?title=reasons-you-should-want-an-american-express-card#discuss

  50. You made some decent points there. I looked on the internet for the topic and found most people will go along with with your website.

    http://www.froleprotrem.com/

  51. Hi! I could have sworn I’ve been to this website before but after browsing through some of the post I realized it’s new to me. Anyhow, I’m definitely happy I found it and I’ll be book-marking and checking back often!

    https://sinkjoinwearegeneralnews.webgarden.cz/rubriky/sinkjoinwearegeneralnews-s-blog/advantages-and-drawbacks-of

  52. My spouse and i got absolutely fulfilled Raymond managed to carry out his survey while using the ideas he came across using your weblog. It is now and again perplexing to just be making a gift of secrets and techniques that many the others have been trying to sell. So we know we need the writer to thank for that. The type of illustrations you’ve made, the simple site navigation, the friendships you can make it possible to create – it is all extraordinary, and it’s really aiding our son and the family do think this subject is satisfying, which is certainly really important. Thanks for the whole thing!

    https://bookmarkingworld.review/story.php?title=a-review-of-disney-plus#discuss

  53. Thanks for your personal marvelous posting! I seriously enjoyed reading it, you could be a great author.I will always bookmark your blog and definitely will come back in the future. I want to encourage you to continue your great job, have a nice morning!

    http://iascoaching.net/tag/tnpsc-group-4-question-paper/

  54. Oh my goodness! a tremendous article dude. Thank you Nonetheless I’m experiencing challenge with ur rss . Don’t know why Unable to subscribe to it. Is there anyone getting identical rss problem? Anybody who is aware of kindly respond. Thnkx

    https://bit.ly/3cN76Dm

  55. I used to be very happy to search out this web-site.I wanted to thanks in your time for this excellent learn!! I positively having fun with every little little bit of it and I’ve you bookmarked to check out new stuff you weblog post.

    https://av-rank.siteoly.com/

  56. That is the suitable weblog for anybody who wants to find out about this topic. You notice a lot its almost hard to argue with you (not that I really would need…HaHa). You positively put a brand new spin on a topic thats been written about for years. Nice stuff, simply nice!

    https://av-rank.siteoly.com/

  57. You should participate in a contest for one of the best blogs on the web. I’ll recommend this web site!

    https://av-rank.siteoly.com/

  58. Aw, this was a very nice post. In idea I would like to put in writing like this moreover – taking time and precise effort to make an excellent article… however what can I say… I procrastinate alot and not at all seem to get something done.

    https://av-rank.siteoly.com/

  59. I was very pleased to seek out this web-site.I needed to thanks for your time for this glorious read!! I undoubtedly enjoying each little bit of it and I have you bookmarked to take a look at new stuff you weblog post.

    https://av-rank.siteoly.com/

  60. Spot on with this write-up, I really think this site needs much more attention. I’ll probably be back again to read through more, thanks for the advice!

    http://www.X7wFVYZgcs.com/X7wFVYZgcs

  61. Whoa! This blog looks exactly like my old one! It’s on a entirely different topic but it has pretty much the same layout and design. Excellent choice of colors!

    http://www.vreyrolinomit.com/

  62. 314698 887820As I site possessor I believe the content material matter here is rattling wonderful , appreciate it for your efforts. You must maintain it up forever! Very best of luck. 956604

  63. Very interesting information!Perfect just what I was looking for! “The only gift is a portion of thyself.” by Ralph Waldo Emerson.

    http://www.zortilonrel.com/